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Forecast Guide
Model update cycle
Navigating the documentation
Financing renewable assets
Backtest and historical performance
Low case
Reliance
GB Methodology
Introduction to our forecasting
Inputs
Demand
Building the capacity stack
Capacity inputs
Hydrogen
Commodity pricing
Renewable load factors
Generation costs
Ancillary services
Storage
Interconnectors
Capacity Expansion Model
Fundamentals model to 2050
Modelling thermal short run marginal costs
GB price, modelled without storage or interconnection
Modelling the storage fleet
Impact of storage
Interconnection
Ancillary service pricing
The Capacity Market
Transmission Network Use of System (TNUoS)
Wider generation TNUOS forecasts
Distribution Use of System (DUoS)
Battery dispatch model
Modelling different risk appetites
Modelling day-ahead and frequency response revenues
Assumptions in our dispatch model
Frequency Response market saturation
Intraday revenues
Battery degradation
Solar co-located revenues
Modelling the Balancing Mechanism
Transmission constraints for the BM
BM revenues for batteries
BM dispatch rates
Example day of BM dispatch
Macro scenarios: low case
Macros scenarios: high case
Model calibration
Run library
Custom runs
Location
Glossary
Backtest
Forward curves
Bankability
Frequently Asked Questions
FAQ: General
FAQ: Fundamentals model
FAQ: Dispatch model
FAQ: Network Charges
FAQ: Results
FAQ: Backtest and Calibration
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